NCAA Top 25 Poll – #NCAATop25

Crazy weekend!  This weekend was one of the most fun to watch as it had close games and upsets.  We will be trimming the list to the Final 16 (those that would be BCS eligible, in our opinion):

1. LSU
2. Oklahoma State
3. Alabama
4. Boise State
5. Oregon
6. Wisconsin
7. South Carolina
8. Stanford
9. Michigan State
10. Kansas State
11. Houston
12. Baylor
13. TCU
14. Georgia
15. Arkansas State
16. Arkansas

The BCS is going to be a hot mess.  As I said last night on Twitter, yesterday’s College Football games were like dating your best friend’s ex, it is messy and somebody is going to get their feelings hurt.  Stay tuned for our BCS Bowl Projections.

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There is always debate about who should be on a Top 25 Ranking. We decided to show something new this year. If you are ranked and lose, you are off the rankings until you win your way back on. You win your way on by beating a ranked team. If a ranked team beats a ranked team they get both rankings. If they later lose, they lose all their rankings. This is what the AP Top 25 would look like after Week Fourteen’s Action:

Rankings

1.
Oklahoma State
2.
LSU
3.
LSU
4.
LSU
5.
TCU
6.
Oklahoma State
7.
USC
8.
Oklahoma State
9.
Oklahoma State
10.
Wisconsin
11.
Wisconsin
12.
LSU
13.
Clemson
14.
Baylor
15.
LSU
16.
West Virginia
17.
USC
18.Baylor
19.
TCU
20.
Clemson
21.
Nebraska
22.
LSU
23.
Clemson
24.
LSU
25.
USC

Based on these results I am going to do a listing of rank by points (reverse order), by who has the most spots in the Top 25, the average of their rankings, and finally one by who is at the top.

Points Rank
1. LSU – 100 points
2. Oklahoma State – 80 points
3. Wisconsin – 31 points
4. USC – 29 points
5. TCU – 28 points
6. Clemson – 22 points
7. Baylor – 20 points
8. West Virginia – 10 points
9. Nebraska – 5 points

It is amazing what one win can do for a team. If TCU hadn’t defeated Boise State, BSU would be sitting at #5. Clemson would be Virginia Tech.  As it stands Oklahoma State would be playing LSU in the National Championship by a long shot.

Top 2
1. Oklahoma
2. LSU

LSU and Oklahoma would play in the National Championship as Oklahoma State took Oklahoma’s #1 Preseason ranking. LSU took Alabama’s #2 and they get to meet in the National Championship.

Most Spots
1. LSU – 7
2. Oklahoma State – 4
3. Clemson/USC – 3 (TIE)
4. TCU/Wisconsin/Baylor – 2 (TIE)
5. West Virginia/Nebraska – 1 (TIE)

Poll Average
1. Oklahoma State – 6.000
2. Wisconsin – 10.500
3. LSU – 11.714
4. TCU – 12.000
5. Clemson – 15.333
6. Baylor – 16.000
7. West Virginia – 16.000
8. USC – 16.333
9. Nebraska – 21.000

This is the only scenario where LSU wouldn’t play Oklahoma State for the National Championship. Instead it would Oklahoma State vs Wisconsin. However, one could refactor the equation to subtract the number of poll spots from the final number to change things around as LSU dropped below Wisconsin because LSU beat a couple teams in the 20s. I put West Virginia Below Baylor despite their identical scores only because Baylor got that score because of two rankings and West Virginia only one.  If you did this modification LSU would move to #2 with 4 points and USC would jump ahead of Baylor and West Virginia.

Summary
After looking at all of these I really do believe it should be Oklahoma State vs Alabama in the BCS Championship and it might happen, but it will probably be Alabama instead. That disappoints me because Alabama didn’t look good offensively against LSU and their kicking game was terrible in both the LSU game and the Mississippi State game that followed. But based on preseason rankings and the wins that followed it is clearly LSU and Oklahoma State deserving of the National Championship.

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